The former leader of Hamas, Abdel Aziz Rantisi, while he was still alive told Major General Danny Rothschild, the then Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories, that Hamas' long-term objective was the end of Israel, but his immediate enemy was Yasser Arafat. To undermine him, Hamas chose not to start at the top of the pyramid but at its base. And its weapons were good works, jobs, and welfare. Rantisi said Hamas would recruit in the wide base and then push up through democracy. The objective was an Islamic state under Islamic leadership operating under strict Islamic law. The problem is that Hamas is succeeding. Palestinian Authority leader Abu Mazen does not have the tools to compete from the perspective of security or economic and social benefits. In order to ensure political strength and stability in Gaza and the West Bank, the Palestinian authority must regain the faith and support of the Palestinian people. It can achieve this by improving the standard of living of the Palestinian people through provision of employment opportunities, housing, education, and health care.
In the past as well as in the present, there have been two changes that the average Palestinian desired as peace dividends: (1) to look out the window every day and not see Israeli soldiers and (2) an improved standard of living. In the first disengagement from Gaza in 1994, there were no more Israeli soldiers in Gaza, but the quality of life drastically declined. The poor socio-economic conditions in the region increased Islamic extremists’ activity and terrorism. These Islamic groups gained power, not by replacing political authorities at the higher levels, but through acquiring popularity at the grassroots level by providing people with basic necessities that have an immediate and perceptible impact on their standard of living.
In 1984, for example, Hizbullah purchased a large number of farms, pharmacies and clinics which allowed it to provide free food and health care, thus boosting its profile in the Occupied Territories. Hamas is using the same tactics today to expand its constituency and acquire greater popularity among the Palestinian people. By providing basic goods and social services to underprivileged neighborhoods, they get the support of the people and their political allegiance.
Abu Mazen cannot improve the political situation in Palestine without the support of the people, and he currently does not have their support because he cannot match the goods and services that Hamas provides. Hamas does not provide 100% of services to 100% of the people, but the people do not expect them to provide full goods and services to the entire population. The Palestinian authorities, however, are expected to provide a complete range of services to the whole population, and herein lies the difficulty. The Palestinian authorities have to invest much more effort and resources in order to meet these high expectations. This problem is not unique to Palestine; governments throughout the Middle East face the challenge of soaring demographic growth rates and booming populations. Egypt, for instance has to cater to the needs of about one million additional people every nine months.
One of Abu Mazen’s main challenges is to disarm Hamas. This is an important step, but if the Palestinian people continue to support Hamas even after it disarms, then the disarmament would be useless. Abu Mazen can only reassert his political influence by creating jobs, and by providing housing, education, and medical care. The construction of high rise apartment complexes is a particularly promising opportunity, as it can provide employment for Palestinians as well as housing for returning refugees. These projects need not involve billions of dollars, and as long as the funds are issued into approved projects, these problems can be taken care of fairly quickly.
A viable Palestinian state is possible, but its formation and stability will require work and consistent efforts from both sides. Israel can help strengthen Palestine’s economy by facilitating trade, and most importantly the export of goods out of Palestine, as well as releasing innocent Palestinian prisoners. One thousand prisoners without blood on there hands could be released tomorrow. The Palestinians can help by allowing themselves to be trained in skills necessary for employment. Bilateral discussion between Israel and Palestine is also necessary for political stability, but the pressing issues of the moment are those of practicality. If the basic necessities of the people are taken care of and their problems are addressed, the authorities can gain their support and the political problems can then be solved.
This policy brief is based on a presentation by Maj. Gen. Danny Rothschild that was given at MEI's Boardman room on October 25, 2005.
Major General (Res.) Danny Rothschild is a veteran soldier who served with the Israel Defense Force for more than three decades. As Coordinator of Government Activities in the Territories, Gen. Rothschild played central roles in Israel's peace negotiations, serving as a member of the Israeli delegations for peace talks with Jordan as well as with the Palestinians in Madrid and Washington, DC. He was head of the Israeli delegation during the bilateral peace talks held in Cairo and a senior member of Israel's negotiating team that formulated the Israeli-Palestinian economic agreement. He is a founding partner in NETACS (security) Ltd. and TeachLink Inc. In addition, Rothschild serves as President of the Council for Peace and Security and is on the board of the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
Keiry Carroll is an intern with the Language Department at the Middle East Institute. She is a senior at the University of Maryland and is studying for a double degree in Criminology/Criminal Justice and Italian.